Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

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  • Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    Wanli, 02.03.2020 19:02
    #1

    Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. Wahlfieber.com

    2. 538

    3. Data for Progress

    **********

    TX 2020 DEMBidBloButKloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
    Primary






























    Predictions 2020






























    Prediction markets *














    Wahlfieber - final32,118,91,91,530,413,5
    1,75
    34,69
    2,0027,155,54T
    Wahlfieber - last day average32,419,81,50,630,713,2
    1,8
    44,25
    2,2535,036,96
    Other predictions














































    Polls














    CBS News26,013,06,06,030,017,0
    1,0
    79,10
    3,4556,7818,86
    CNN20,018,08,03,029,015,0
    1,0
    87,67
    4,3445,9837,35
    Data for Progress30,020,04,03,028,015,0
    1,0
    43,61
    2,7729,8810,97T
    Emerson26,016,05,04,031,014,0
    5,0
    46,16
    2,5730,8912,70
    Monmouth














    NBC News19,015,08,03,034,01,0
    1,0
    91,33
    4,4944,8641,98
    PPP














    SurveyUSA














    UMass Lowell














































    Dallas Morning News20,018,07,09,029,010,0
    2,0
    122,73
    4,6077,2340,90
    University of Houston20,012,011,07,020,017,0
    4,0
    147,05
    6,3880,6360,04
    Univision Houston20,020,06,02,026,010,0
    3,0
    67,64
    4,0525,8537,74
    UT Texas Tribune22,010,07,03,024,015,0
    2,0
    79,22
    4,5940,8233,81
















































































    Other predictions














    53830,019,02,01,029,013,0
    6,0d42,51
    2,4332,187,90T
















    Averages














    Prediction markets **32,219,31,71,030,613,4
    1,8
    39,40
    2,1331,096,18
    Polls **22,615,86,94,427,914,2
    2,2
    71,83
    3,5843,5324,72
































    Results 202034,4914,373,962,0729,9811,42
    3,71







    BidBloButKloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
















    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

    Links:

    Anmerkungen:

    Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi als Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird. Und zwar unabhängig vom Veröffentlichungsdatum. (nicht selten "uralt")

  • RE: Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    gruener (Luddit), 03.03.2020 01:21, Reply to #1
    #2

    danke, du hast mir arbeit abgenommen!

    TX und NC standen beide auf meinem nachtplan. (beim nicht-bio bier)

  • RE: Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    gruener (Luddit), 03.03.2020 23:01, Reply to #2
    #3

    neue Umfagen und Daten wurden eingepflegt.

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