Cohen on political stock market

Registered since:
07.08.2009

Current posts from Cohen

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 4 20
Thurgau state election, 2024 1 19
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 1 14
19 28
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 12 35
St. Gallen state election, 2024 4 21
Salzburg local election, 2024 23 31
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 6 14
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 5 20
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 1 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 5 19
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 16 19
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 19 20
Dutch general election, 2023 7 23
Luxembourg general election, 2023 6 24
Bavarian state election, 2023 12 57
Hessen state election, 2023 13 50
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 15 36
East-Berlin state election, 2023 20 26
Zuerich state election, 2023 4 17
Kaernten state election, 2023 21 45
Berlin state election, 2023 33 55
Danish general election 9 22
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
Graz local election, 2021 7 35
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
German general election, 2021 (special market) 7 26
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 30 36
German general election, 2021 30 81
Berlin state election, 2021 19 60
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 49 50
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 18 54
12 25
17 55
Wiesbaden local elections, 2021 15 16
Marburg local elections, 2021 7 19
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 4 27
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 15 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 21 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 18 45
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 32 55
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
German federal election, 2021 8 44
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 16 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 11 36
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 57
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 36
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 15 53
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 9 21
SPD-Parteivorsitz 2019 16 34
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 28 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2019 7 28
Canadian federal election, 2019 10 32
Parlamentswahl Polen 2019 15 16
Parlamentswahl Portugal 2019 5 29
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 37 47
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 70 101
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Israeli legislative election, Sep 2019 22 34
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 20 44
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 26 49
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 47 57
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 35 54
Europawahl Österreich 2019 26 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 27 69
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 34 83
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 37 50
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 21 63
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 33 61
Flensburg local election, 2013 (small parties) 20 41
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 15 41
Lübeck local election, 2013 16 70
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 21 74
Kommunalwahl Flensburg 2013 24 62
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 30 110
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 20 91
Plön local election, 2013 30 85
Kiel local election, 2013 (small parties) 29 118
Kiel local election, 2013 33 140
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 77 179
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 30 95
Graz local election, 2013 108 144
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 8 30
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 14 37
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 19 37
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 7 42
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 14 439
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 25 58
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Exits from the Euro-zone 63 116
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 5 29
US Senate election, 2012 19 35
US presidential election, 2012 23 80
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 31 108
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 114 468
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 85 200
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 28 116
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 54 131
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 134 1,499

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 1 20
Zuerich state election, 2023 4 17
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 4 27
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 5 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 5 19
Parlamentswahl Portugal 2019 5 29
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 6 14
Luxembourg general election, 2023 6 24
St. Gallen state election, 2024 4 21
Graz local election, 2021 7 35
Marburg local elections, 2021 7 19
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 7 42
German federal election, 2021 8 44
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2019 7 28
Thurgau state election, 2024 1 19
Danish general election 9 22
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 11 36
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 5 29
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 8 30
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 4 20
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 12 35
Bavarian state election, 2023 12 57
German general election, 2021 (special market) 7 26
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 9 21
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 1 14
Hessen state election, 2023 13 50
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
12 25
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 57
Hamburg regional election, 2020 14 36
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 14 439
Dutch general election, 2023 7 23
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 15 36
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 15 47
Wiesbaden local elections, 2021 15 16
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 15 53
Parlamentswahl Polen 2019 15 16
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 15 41
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 16 19
SPD-Parteivorsitz 2019 16 34
Lübeck local election, 2013 16 70
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 16 34
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 18 54
17 55
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 18 45
Canadian federal election, 2019 10 32
19 28
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 19 20
Berlin state election, 2021 19 60
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 19 37
East-Berlin state election, 2023 20 26
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 20 44
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 20 91
Flensburg local election, 2013 (small parties) 20 41
US Senate election, 2012 19 35
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 21 53
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 21 63
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 21 74
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Israeli legislative election, Sep 2019 22 34
Salzburg local election, 2024 23 31
US presidential election, 2012 23 80
Kommunalwahl Flensburg 2013 24 62
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 14 37
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 26 49
Europawahl Österreich 2019 26 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 27 69
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 25 58
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 28 34
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 28 116
Kiel local election, 2013 (small parties) 29 118
Kaernten state election, 2023 21 45
German general election, 2021 30 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 30 36
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 30 110
Plön local election, 2013 30 85
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 30 95
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 31 108
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 32 55
Berlin state election, 2023 33 55
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 33 61
Kiel local election, 2013 33 140
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 34 83
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 35 54
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 37 47
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 37 50
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 47 57
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 49 50
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 54 131
Exits from the Euro-zone 63 116
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 70 101
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 77 179
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 85 200
Graz local election, 2013 108 144
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 114 468
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 134 1,499
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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