Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

posts 1 - 3 by 3
  • Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    Wanli, 02.03.2020 19:02
    #1

    Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. Wahlfieber.com

    2. 538

    3. Data for Progress

    **********

    TX 2020 DEMBidBloButKloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
    Primary






























    Predictions 2020






























    Prediction markets *














    Wahlfieber - final32,118,91,91,530,413,5
    1,75
    34,69
    2,0027,155,54T
    Wahlfieber - last day average32,419,81,50,630,713,2
    1,8
    44,25
    2,2535,036,96
    Other predictions














































    Polls














    CBS News26,013,06,06,030,017,0
    1,0
    79,10
    3,4556,7818,86
    CNN20,018,08,03,029,015,0
    1,0
    87,67
    4,3445,9837,35
    Data for Progress30,020,04,03,028,015,0
    1,0
    43,61
    2,7729,8810,97T
    Emerson26,016,05,04,031,014,0
    5,0
    46,16
    2,5730,8912,70
    Monmouth














    NBC News19,015,08,03,034,01,0
    1,0
    91,33
    4,4944,8641,98
    PPP














    SurveyUSA














    UMass Lowell














































    Dallas Morning News20,018,07,09,029,010,0
    2,0
    122,73
    4,6077,2340,90
    University of Houston20,012,011,07,020,017,0
    4,0
    147,05
    6,3880,6360,04
    Univision Houston20,020,06,02,026,010,0
    3,0
    67,64
    4,0525,8537,74
    UT Texas Tribune22,010,07,03,024,015,0
    2,0
    79,22
    4,5940,8233,81
















































































    Other predictions














    53830,019,02,01,029,013,0
    6,0d42,51
    2,4332,187,90T
















    Averages














    Prediction markets **32,219,31,71,030,613,4
    1,8
    39,40
    2,1331,096,18
    Polls **22,615,86,94,427,914,2
    2,2
    71,83
    3,5843,5324,72
































    Results 202034,4914,373,962,0729,9811,42
    3,71







    BidBloButKloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
















    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

    Links:

    Anmerkungen:

    Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi als Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird. Und zwar unabhängig vom Veröffentlichungsdatum. (nicht selten "uralt")

  • RE: Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    gruener (Luddit), 03.03.2020 01:21, Reply to #1
    #2

    danke, du hast mir arbeit abgenommen!

    TX und NC standen beide auf meinem nachtplan. (beim nicht-bio bier)

  • RE: Texas Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    gruener (Luddit), 03.03.2020 23:01, Reply to #2
    #3

    neue Umfagen und Daten wurden eingepflegt.

posts 1 - 3 by 3
Log in
30,573 Participants » Who is online

Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com