ernst_h on political stock market

Registered since:
17.07.2008

Current posts from ernst_h

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Slovakian parlamentary election 2012 29 31
Slovenian parlamentary election 2011 17 22
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 43 45
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 11 15
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 2 16
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 14 261
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 6 37
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 47 52
Parliamentary election Latvia 2011 27 36
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 42 43
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 21 27
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 17 23
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 42 47
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 73 80
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 76 85
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 24 24
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 51 52
New York's 26th congressional district special election, 2011 13 19
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 - Gewinner 2 29
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 4 28
National Assembly for Wales election, 2011 22 24
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 3 60
Parlamentswahlen Finnland 2011 19 30
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 23 24
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 17 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 6 119
Oscars 2011: Bester fremdsprachiger Film 15 18
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 18 19
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 25 30
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 7 27
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 111 121
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 18 132
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 7 24
Fußball-Europameisterschaft 2012 / Qualifikation Gruppe A 40 57
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 3 18
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 28 35
Steiermark 33 98
tipp3 Bundesliga 39 56
Volksentscheid Hamburg 42 54
Bundespräsident 20 103
Fußball: WM 2010 30 103
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 30 36
Latvia 31 34

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Petition for a referendum Berlin 1 87
KPÖ - BZÖ 1 129
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 2 16
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 - Gewinner 2 29
United States Senate election in Florida, 2010 2 24
Große Koalition 2 163
Österreich - Koalitionen 2 113
Wahlbeteiligung 2 141
Parlamentswahlen Portugal 2011 3 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 3 60
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 3 18
Gruppe E 3 71
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 4 28
Oberösterreich - Koalition 4 50
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 6 37
Greece 6 77
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 7 27
Thuringia 7 146
Referendum Berlin 7 109
Wien - Kleine Parteien 8 48
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen - Ergebnis der B+B 9 28
French Open 2009 (Men) 9 53
Oscars 2011: Beste Hauptdarstellerin 10 17
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 11 15
Sweden 12 68
Germany 12 180
Klubanzahl 13 142
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 14 25
Wimbledon Championships (Men) 14 35
Bundeskanzler 14 220
1. Bundesliga 15 170
BZÖ-GRÜNE 15 57
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 17 23
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 17 33
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 18 19
FPÖ 18 171
Gruppe D 19 72
Wimbledon 2011 - Gentlemen's Singles 20 22
Bundespräsident 20 103
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 21 27
Parlamentswahlen Türkei 22 33
Spain 22 69
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 23 609
Upper Austria 23 151
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 24 24
Konjunkturpaket 24 80
USA - Florida 25 77
Opel 26 123
neue Senatszusammensetzung 27 34
Neue Regierung 27 96
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 28 35
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 29 29
Fußball: WM 2010 30 103
Dinkhauser 30 220
Latvia 31 34
Hesse 32 245
North Rhine-Westphalia 34 104
NRW - MP-Wahl 37 42
tipp3 Bundesliga 39 56
French Open 2009 (Women) 39 48
Afrikanische Mannschaften 40 58
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 42 43
Volksentscheid Hamburg 42 54
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 43 50
ÖVP 43 171
ÖVP-GRÜNE 45 51
US-House election 2009 46 47
Abtritt Westerwelle 48 83
Slovenia 48 50
Volksentscheid Bayern 50 91
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 51 52
Österreich - Wahlkarten 51 67
Gruppe A 53 66
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
France 56 71
Dieter Althaus 59 78
USA - 538 62 71
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 64 64
Italy 65 74
Denmark 67 67
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 68 84
United Kingdom 72 79
European Parliament 73 85
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 76 85
Hessen - Neuwahlen 87 129
USA - President 91 221
Saarland 110 163
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 122 134
SPÖ 127 155
Schleswig-Holstein 163 214
Germany 247 559
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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