HIM on political stock market

Registered since:
30.08.2007

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Polish presidential Election 2025 19 23
Romanian presidential Election 2025 4 13
Australian federal elections, 2025 2 15
3 11
Vienna local elections, 2025 10 20
11 20
11 29
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 10 25
Solothurn state election, 2025 4 14
Steiermark local elections, 2025 12 24
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 19 22
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
German general election, 2025 (direct seats) 11 27
German general election, 2025 11 30
10 14
7 24
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 16 41
US-Senate elections, 2024 10 31
Aargau state election, 2024 19 19
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 15 31
Sachsen state election, 2024 15 39
French legislative election, 2024 11 25
10 33
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 15 37
Innsbruck local election, 2024 7 31
14 17
Schwyz state election, 2024 15 16
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
12 28
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 14 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 5 37
Austrian general election,2024 39 85
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 7 20
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 14 19
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 4 16
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 5 25
Hessen state election, 2023 20 50
Greek legislative election, 2023 II 5 14
Zuerich state election, 2023 8 17
Berlin state election, 2023 35 55
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 20 42
Italian general election, 2022 20 26
Tirol state election, 2022 21 38
French legislative election, 2022 21 33
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 21 24
French presidential election, 2022 25 54
Saarland state election, 2022 9 30
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 10 31
11 26
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
Russian legislative election, 2021 7 18
Berlin state election, 2021 43 60
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 16 54
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 16 47
5 12
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 15 25
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 15 55
4 18
Hessen local elections, 2021 35 43
24 49
9 24
Mülheim/Ruhr mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 9 19
Cologne mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 3 19
Aachen mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 3 21
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 24
14 36
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 26 59
4 16
6 20
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 11 22
Arizona Democratic Primary, 2020 4 17
Georgia Democratic Primary, 2020 5 21
Kantonsratswahl Schwyz 2020 4 23
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Augsburg 2020 5 20
Stadtratswahl Würzburg 2020 2 19
Stadtratswahl Nürnberg 2020 13 20
Kommunalwahl Bayern 2020 16 34
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 17 39
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 9 32
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 21 42
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Mainz 2019 10 29
Parlamentswahl Portugal 2019 5 29
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 51 101
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2019 11 31
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 27 34
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 19 44
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 13 36
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 24 57
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 20 54
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 53 69
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 25 50
Israeli legislative election, Mar 2019 9 24
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 36 50
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 18 42
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 25 66
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 31 71
Fußball-WM 2018 27 53
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 22 36
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 8 33
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 12 36
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 13 27
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 14 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 10 34
New Zealand general election, 2017 22 33
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 8 37
President Trump Job Approval, 2018-01 17 48
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 20 54
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Fehlerquote der Umfrageinstitute) 13 28
Russian legislative election, 2016 12 24
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 88 154
Swiss Senate elections 2015 33 95
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 34 62
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 25 59
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 24 53
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 (kleine Parteien) 38 81
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 (kleine Parteien) 28 75
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 26 46
Grossratswahlen Kanton Genf 2013 6 21
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 (kleine Parteien) 31 65
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 89 206
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 61 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 49 89
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 49 149
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 116 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 449 609
North Rhine-Westphalia 106 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 2 75
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 39 69

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 1 19
Mönchengladbach mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 1 15
Australian federal elections, 2025 2 15
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 2 75
Cologne mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 3 19
Romanian presidential Election 2025 4 13
3 11
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 4 20
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 4 22
Dortmund mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 4 21
Stadtratswahl Würzburg 2020 2 19
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 3 18
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 5 25
Portuguese legislative election, 2022 4 20
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Solothurn state election, 2025 4 14
7 24
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 7 20
5 12
Kantonsratswahl Schwyz 2020 4 23
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 7 293
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Fraktionsvorsitzende der Grünen 2019 8 18
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 8 37
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 7 14
Saarland state election, 2022 9 30
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 9 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 8 20
Arizona Democratic Primary, 2020 4 17
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 9 32
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 9 25
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 10 25
10 33
9 24
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 2 16
5 16
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 10 34
German general election, 2025 (direct seats) 11 27
French legislative election, 2024 11 25
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 10 22
6 20
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 8 19
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
Israeli legislative election, Mar 2019 9 24
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 11 67
St. Gallen state election, 2024 8 21
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
Stadtratswahl Regensburg 2020 8 19
Northern Ireland 12 40
13 13
6 18
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 24
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 11 22
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 13 36
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 12 36
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 14 35
14 21
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 14 19
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 14 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 14 36
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 14 26
Schl.-Holst. - Überhang 14 38
Sachsen state election, 2024 15 39
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 15 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 15 55
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 15 25
Russian legislative election, 2016 12 24
12 28
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 16 54
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 16 39
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 15 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 17 39
Hamburg regional election, 2020 17 57
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 13 27
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Fehlerquote der Umfrageinstitute) 13 28
Parlamentswahl Israel 2015 17 36
Australian Open 2008 (Women) 17 47
11 29
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 15 32
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 18 42
Bayern 18 93
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 19 22
Brandenburg state election, 2024 18 44
Austrian presidential election, 2022 19 42
14 36
24 - 7th Season VII 19 45
Hessen state election, 2023 20 50
Italian general election, 2022 20 26
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Australian Open 2008 (Men) 20 60
Tirol state election, 2022 21 38
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 21 24
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 21 42
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 21 39
Latvia - Riga 21 42
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 22 51
New Zealand general election, 2017 22 33
Greece 22 77
Thueringen state election, 2024 22 39
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Salzburg 23 114
US-House elections, 2024 24 30
24 49
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 24 57
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 24 53
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 15 37
German general election, 2021 25 81
US-House elections 2018 25 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 25 50
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 25 59
Ralf Stegner 25 97
Österreich - Wien (intern) 25 43
Ukraine 25 59
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 26 31
Denmark 26 67
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 27 76
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 27 34
Luxembourg 27 50
Turkish presidential election, 2023 28 38
Sweden 28 68
President Trump Job Approval, 2018-01 17 48
Hamburg - coalitions 29 121
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 30 53
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 30 108
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 31 57
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 (kleine Parteien) 31 65
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 32 89
USA - 538 32 71
Vorarlberg 33 87
Ypsilanti 33 74
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 34 86
Schl.-Holst. - Freie Wähler 34 90
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 35 61
Blocher - SVP 35 43
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 36 47
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 36 50
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 36 41
Hungary 36 79
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 37 75
Germany 37 180
Niederösterreich 37 106
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 38 71
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 39 47
Kärnten 39 137
Hesse - coalitions 39 257
Herbstmeister 39 60
Landtagswahl Niederösterreich 2018 40 49
Nederland 40 70
Poland 40 55
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 41 83
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 42 82
Republican Candidate 42 166
Berlin state election, 2021 43 60
Austrian general election,2024 39 85
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 45 86
Schweiz - SVP 45 96
Latvia 46 70
Australian Open 2009 (Men) 46 80
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 49 89
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 49 84
US presidential election, 2016 51 77
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 51 143
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 53 69
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 53 126
Brandenburg - Stärkste Partei 53 78
Republican Primaries 53 80
Burgenland 55 75
Israel 56 100
Poland 57 66
Referendum Berlin 59 109
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 61 468
Sachsen - Koalition 63 88
USA - Senate 2008 63 97
Österreich - Kärnten 63 132
Graz 66 99
Democratic Primaries 67 132
SPÖ 71 155
Hesse 75 319
Saxony 78 146
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 88 154
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 89 200
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 91 363
Schleswig-Holstein 92 103
BZÖ 98 168
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 100 134
North Rhine-Westphalia 106 193
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 116 1,499
Stärkste Partei 118 198
USA - President 123 221
LIF 125 234
Democratic Candidate 137 310
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Federal President Germany 155 251
Schleswig-Holstein 197 275
Austria 250 725
Hamburg 691 866
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com