HIM on political stock market

Registered since:
30.08.2007

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
3 16
Polish presidential Election 2025 19 23
Romanian presidential Election 2025 3 13
Australian federal elections, 2025 3 15
3 11
Vienna local elections, 2025 11 20
11 20
14 29
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 10 25
Solothurn state election, 2025 4 14
Steiermark local elections, 2025 12 24
Vienna local elections, 2025 21 36
German general election in Bavaria, 2025 6 29
Hamburg state election, 2025 12 21
13 13
German general election, 2025 70 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 14 35
US-House elections, 2024 24 30
Steiermark state election, 2024 18 47
Basel-City state election, 2024 6 19
Brandenburg state election, 2024 18 44
Thueringen state election, 2024 22 39
United Kingdom general election, 2024 11 26
German European Parliament election, 2024 18 48
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 26 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 27 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 14 35
Uri state election, 2024 4 16
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 3 18
14 21
St. Gallen state election, 2024 8 21
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 7 14
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 9 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 1 19
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 4 20
Luxembourg general election, 2023 7 24
Bavarian state election, 2023 43 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 30 36
Turkish presidential election, 2023 28 38
Kaernten state election, 2023 21 45
Czech presidential election, 2023 11 20
Austrian presidential election, 2022 19 42
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 31 49
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 15 34
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 16 47
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 10 22
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 20 24
Saarland state election, 2022 15 46
Portuguese legislative election, 2022 4 20
32 44
6 18
Graz local election, 2021 9 35
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
German general election, 2021 25 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 39 50
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 15 32
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 4 22
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 36 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 9 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 15 45
12 35
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
German federal election, 2021 21 44
11 34
Bolivian presidential election, 2020 5 18
Mönchengladbach mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 1 15
Münster mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 14 19
Dortmund mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 4 21
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 14 34
Vienna local election, 2020 40 57
11 20
5 15
5 16
Illinois Democratic Primary, 2020 5 20
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 8 19
Washington Democratic Primary, 2020 9 21
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 2 16
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 8 20
Stadtratswahl Regensburg 2020 8 19
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 9 34
Stadtratswahl München 2020 12 24
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 17 36
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Hamburg regional election, 2020 17 57
Hamburg regional election, 2020 13 36
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 30 53
Fraktionsvorsitzende der Grünen 2019 8 18
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 11 34
Canadian federal election, 2019 25 32
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 39 47
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 22 51
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 21 52
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Israeli legislative election, Sep 2019 8 34
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 25 71
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 9 36
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 42 49
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 14 36
Parlamentswahl Dänemark 2019 24 35
Parlamentswahl der Deutschsprachigen Gemeinschaft in Belgien 2019 8 28
Europawahl Österreich 2019 17 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 41 83
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 36 63
Kantonsratswahl Zürich 2019 7 26
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 35 61
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 (kleine Parteien) 12 37
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 36 53
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 21 39
US-House elections 2018 25 33
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 36 41
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 31 57
Präsidentschaftswahl Tschech. Republik 2018 14 28
Landtagswahl Niederösterreich 2018 40 49
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 14 26
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 16 53
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 42 82
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 34 86
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 97 118
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 21 47
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 31 60
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 17 34
US presidential election, 2016 51 77
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 9 25
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 16 39
Senate elections - Canton St. Gallen 2015 14 45
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 91 363
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Dresden 2015 17 63
Parlamentswahl Israel 2015 17 36
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 29 72
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 26 53
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 100 134
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 32 89
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 30 108
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 89 200
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 53 457
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 163 211
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 7 293
Volksentscheid Bayern 74 91
NRW - Kleine Parteien 23 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 32 65
Schleswig-Holstein 197 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 1 19
Mönchengladbach mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 1 15
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 2 75
Romanian presidential Election 2025 3 13
Australian federal elections, 2025 3 15
Cologne mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 3 19
3 11
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 4 20
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 4 22
Dortmund mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 4 21
Stadtratswahl Würzburg 2020 2 19
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 3 18
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 5 25
Greek legislative election, 2023 II 5 14
4 16
Grossratswahlen Kanton Genf 2013 6 21
7 24
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 7 20
5 12
Kantonsratswahl Schwyz 2020 4 23
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 7 293
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Fraktionsvorsitzende der Grünen 2019 8 18
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 8 37
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2023 (2nd turn) 7 14
Saarland state election, 2022 9 30
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 9 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 8 20
Arizona Democratic Primary, 2020 4 17
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 9 32
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 9 25
3 16
10 14
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 10 31
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Augsburg 2020 5 20
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Mainz 2019 10 29
Greece 10 56
French legislative election, 2024 11 25
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 10 22
6 20
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 8 19
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 10 47
Israeli legislative election, Mar 2019 9 24
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 11 67
St. Gallen state election, 2024 8 21
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
Stadtratswahl Regensburg 2020 8 19
Northern Ireland 12 40
13 13
6 18
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 24
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 11 22
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 13 36
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 12 36
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 14 35
14 21
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 14 19
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 14 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 14 36
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 14 26
Schl.-Holst. - Überhang 14 38
Sachsen state election, 2024 15 39
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 15 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 15 55
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 15 25
Russian legislative election, 2016 12 24
12 28
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 16 54
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 16 39
14 29
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 17 36
Europawahl Österreich 2019 17 67
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 14 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Dresden 2015 17 63
24 - 7th Season III 17 75
Danmark 17 53
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 15 32
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 18 42
Bayern 18 93
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 19 22
Brandenburg state election, 2024 18 44
Austrian presidential election, 2022 19 42
14 36
24 - 7th Season VII 19 45
Hessen state election, 2023 20 50
Italian general election, 2022 20 26
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Australian Open 2008 (Men) 20 60
French legislative election, 2022 21 33
German federal election, 2021 21 44
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 21 52
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 21 47
Slovenia 21 66
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 22 51
New Zealand general election, 2017 22 33
Greece 22 77
Thueringen state election, 2024 22 39
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Salzburg 23 114
German general election, 2025 24 30
Kaernten state election, 2023 21 45
Parlamentswahl Dänemark 2019 24 35
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 17 34
24 - 7th Season VI 24 47
French presidential election, 2022 25 54
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 25 71
Canadian federal election, 2019 25 32
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 25 66
Schleswig-Holstein 25 214
US-House election 2009 25 47
Bavaria 25 51
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 14 35
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 26 53
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 16 41
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 26 59
Fußball-WM 2018 27 53
German European Parliament election, 2024 18 48
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 (kleine Parteien) 28 75
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 23 48
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 29 72
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 30 36
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 26 46
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 31 71
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 20 54
32 44
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 32 65
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 31 60
United Kingdom 33 79
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Swiss Senate elections 2015 33 95
Berlin state election, 2023 35 55
Hessen local elections, 2021 35 43
Österreich (intern) 35 63
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 31 49
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 36 63
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 36 53
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 34 62
USA - House 36 89
Germany 37 139
Spain 37 69
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 (kleine Parteien) 38 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 39 50
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 39 69
Österreich - Tirol 39 124
Hamburg 39 179
Vienna local election, 2020 40 57
Ireland 40 66
USA -Ohio 40 75
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 41 83
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 42 82
Republican Candidate 42 166
Berlin state election, 2021 43 60
Austrian general election,2024 39 85
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 45 86
Schweiz - SVP 45 96
Latvia 46 70
Australian Open 2009 (Men) 46 80
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 49 89
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 49 84
US presidential election, 2016 51 77
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 51 143
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 53 69
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 53 126
Brandenburg - Stärkste Partei 53 78
Republican Primaries 53 80
Burgenland 55 75
Israel 56 100
Poland 57 66
Referendum Berlin 59 109
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 61 468
Sachsen - Koalition 63 88
USA - Senate 2008 63 97
Österreich - Kärnten 63 132
Graz 66 99
Democratic Primaries 67 132
Klubanzahl 71 142
Volksentscheid Bayern 74 91
North Rhine-Westphalia 78 104
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 85 156
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 89 206
ÖVP 90 171
Wahlbeteiligung 92 141
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 97 118
Bavaria 99 169
KPÖ - BZÖ 101 129
GRÜNE 114 194
Drittstärkste Kraft 116 129
Bundeskanzler 119 220
Germany 125 559
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
Tirol 137 397
Dinkhauser 154 220
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 163 211
USA Elections 2008 209 294
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 449 609
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
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