miles on political stock market

Registered since:
16.02.2008

Current posts from miles

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
German general election, 2025 39 104
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 11 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 10 37
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 8 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 8 19
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 4 19
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 17 20
Czech presidential election, 2023 11 20
14 33
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 16 47
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
French presidential election, 2022 23 54
Saarland state election, 2022 29 46
Graz local election, 2021 19 35
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
German general election, 2021 (special market) 24 26
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
German general election, 2021 28 81
Berlin state election, 2021 23 60
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 39 54
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 6 25
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 18 34
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
German federal election, 2021 25 44
Vienna local election, 2020 12 57
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 13 25
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 21 36
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Hamburg regional election, 2020 28 57
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 27 53
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 29 34
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 22 47
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 63 101
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 21 52
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 18 36
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 15 53
British General Elections, 2015 22 45
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 23 70
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 21 55
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 (small parties) 17 35
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 37 127
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 28 439
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 23 31
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 24 108
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 291 468
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 44 200
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 45 89
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 34 63
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 148 222
Senate elections - Canton Bern 30 252
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 90 120
Senate elections in Ticino 8 105
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 66 131
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 34 86
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 81 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 249 609
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 20 48
Volksentscheid Bayern 69 91
North Rhine-Westphalia 59 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 39 75
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 34 65
Polen 33 57
Schleswig-Holstein 194 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 4 19
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Senate elections in Ticino 8 105
Nederland 9 70
Salzburg local election, 2024 10 37
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 6 25
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Czech presidential election, 2023 11 20
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 11 35
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Vienna local election, 2020 12 57
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 8 19
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 8 20
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 13 25
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 15 53
14 33
Bern 16 47
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 17 20
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
USA - 538 17 71
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 18 36
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 18 113
Spanien 18 68
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Czech Republic 19 65
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 20 48
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 18 34
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 21 55
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 (small parties) 17 35
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 21 44
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
Graz local election, 2021 19 35
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 22 47
USA -Ohio 22 75
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
French presidential election, 2022 23 54
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 21 52
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 23 31
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 16 47
German general election, 2021 (special market) 24 26
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 24 108
South Tyrol 24 43
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
Oscar 09: Best Picture 25 59
Hungary 26 49
24 - 7th Season I 26 85
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 26 48
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 21 36
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 27 53
Salzburg 27 114
German general election, 2021 28 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Hamburg regional election, 2020 28 57
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 28 439
Ypsilanti 28 74
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 28 68
Saarland state election, 2022 29 46
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 29 34
Vorarlberg 29 87
Liechtenstein 29 48
USA - House 29 89
Senate elections - Canton Bern 30 252
ÖVP-GRÜNE 30 51
Niederösterreich 30 106
Blocher - SVP 30 43
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 23 70
British General Elections, 2015 22 45
Federal Convention Germany 31 101
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 31 71
German federal election, 2021 25 44
SVK - PAR 32 48
Bavaria 32 132
Berlin state election, 2021 23 60
Polen 33 57
South Tyrol 33 85
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 34 63
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 34 86
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 34 65
USA - Florida 34 77
Slovenia 34 66
Schweiz - SVP 35 96
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 36 80
Österreich - Wahlkarten 36 67
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 37 127
Hungary 37 79
BZÖ-GRÜNE 37 57
Tirol 37 397
Hesse - coalitions 37 257
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
Referendum Berlin 38 109
Schleswig-Holstein 38 103
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 39 54
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 39 75
United Kingdom 39 79
Israel - Ale Yarok 39 65
Neue Regierung 39 96
EM-Spielemarkt 39 81
Italy 39 59
Spain 40 69
Lithuania 40 57
Bavaria 40 169
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Suisse - Federal Council 2009 41 79
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 41 86
Kärnten 41 137
European Parliament 42 85
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 42 78
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 34 66
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 44 200
Bayern 1 44 72
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 45 89
Brandenburg 45 176
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 46 134
German general election, 2025 39 104
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Germany 48 74
Latvia 50 70
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 50 122
Israel 51 100
Hessen - Neuwahlen 51 129
USA - Senate 2008 52 97
Bayern-Koalitionen 52 73
Schleswig-Holstein 53 141
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 56 143
North Rhine-Westphalia 59 193
Hesse 60 245
Österreich - Koalitionen 60 113
Klubanzahl 61 142
Upper Austria 62 151
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 63 101
Wolfgang Clement 64 88
Saarland 65 163
Hessen - Koalition 65 121
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 66 131
Sachsen - Koalition 67 88
Hamburg - coalitions 68 121
Volksentscheid Bayern 69 91
Österreich - Kärnten 69 132
North Rhine-Westphalia 70 104
1. Bundesliga 71 170
Austria 71 144
Österreich - Neuwahlen 72 132
Iceland 74 92
Stärkste Partei 74 198
Italien - preferred 76 82
Lower Saxony - coalitions 76 101
Österreich - Tirol 77 124
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 80 88
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 80 156
KPÖ - BZÖ 80 129
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 81 1,499
FPÖ 81 171
Saxony 84 146
Germany 85 139
Thuringia 86 146
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 90 120
Drittstärkste Kraft 92 129
Große Koalition 93 163
SPÖ 95 155
Bundeskanzler 96 220
Schleswig-Holstein 97 214
BZÖ 97 168
Wahlbeteiligung 98 141
ÖVP 104 171
Federal President Germany 108 251
USA Elections 2008 113 294
Dinkhauser 117 220
USA - President 120 221
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 124 213
LIF 126 234
Germany 127 180
Hamburg 134 179
GRÜNE 137 194
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 148 222
Germany 181 226
Germany 189 559
Schleswig-Holstein 194 275
Austria 247 725
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 249 609
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 291 468
Hamburg 300 866
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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